Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.204385 0.226614 0.249483 0.274715 0.301720 0.329705 0.360845
2024-12-22 0.174221 0.204588 0.237062 0.274200 0.315321 0.359289 0.409683
2024-12-29 0.155849 0.192244 0.232456 0.279816 0.333702 0.392749 0.461977
2025-01-05 0.138684 0.179134 0.225195 0.280904 0.345830 0.418499 0.505359
2025-01-12 0.124191 0.167546 0.218322 0.281242 0.356164 0.441602 0.545446
2025-01-19 0.111068 0.156302 0.210728 0.279723 0.363527 0.460728 0.580657
2025-01-26 0.101702 0.148806 0.206892 0.282043 0.374932 0.484273 0.620928
2025-02-02 0.096011 0.145426 0.207691 0.289683 0.392549 0.515146 0.670026
2025-02-09 0.088206 0.138601 0.203560 0.290671 0.401635 0.535553 0.706562
2025-02-16 0.082856 0.134618 0.202718 0.295528 0.415337 0.561510 0.749901
2025-02-23 0.079428 0.132979 0.204725 0.303903 0.433420 0.592924 0.800126
2025-03-02 0.072276 0.125537 0.198487 0.301057 0.436851 0.605929 0.827597
2025-03-09 0.066914 0.120483 0.195441 0.302554 0.446205 0.626910 0.865846
2025-03-16 0.061125 0.114352 0.190525 0.301217 0.451642 0.642846 0.897843
2025-03-23 0.057962 0.111976 0.190732 0.306763 0.466144 0.670430 0.944747
2025-03-30 0.053718 0.107576 0.187749 0.307659 0.474290 0.689797 0.981304
2025-04-06 0.049651 0.103139 0.184439 0.307866 0.481351 0.707696 1.016041
2025-04-13 0.045438 0.098122 0.179968 0.306158 0.485607 0.721820 1.045914
2025-04-20 0.042589 0.095179 0.178458 0.308581 0.495476 0.743351 1.085503
2025-04-27 0.041278 0.094803 0.180847 0.316697 0.513325 0.775624 1.139358
2025-05-04 0.038472 0.091550 0.178548 0.317733 0.521160 0.794509 1.175754
2025-05-11 0.036748 0.090123 0.179051 0.322898 0.534834 0.821321 1.222773
2025-05-18 0.035896 0.090250 0.182026 0.331811 0.553928 0.855613 1.279951